Joel has a new look at the future via history in his Strategy Letter VI where he waxes lyrically about how HTML/CS/JS is going to have something higher up that targets it as a platform (a la C -> assembly).
Of course, we already have a bunch of options there, including GWT…. which is a little ironic since Joel discusses how Gmail is going to be destroyed by a company that builds “NewSDK”. Maybe he means that Gmail will get beaten by… Gmail++?
There are some flaws here:
- He talks about how NewSDK is from a company that will be the next Microsoft. Of course, most of the NewSDKs are different beasts these days (e.g. GWT is given away for free)
- He assumes that the Gmail team is drinking coffee and not making the product better
- I think that his Wasabi mind makes him think that these cross compilers are the solution to everything, and they need to be created by small companies like FogCreek ;)